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Stronger pulse revives risk appetite in European Markets

The Eurozone ended 18 months of recession in Q2 with GDP growth of 0.3%, principally due to a rebound in Germany and France. Although still in decline, the rate of contraction notably eased in Spain, Italy and the Netherlands, while Portugal surprised with 1.1% growth in Q2. The return to growth was supported by higher factory output and improving exports in several countries. The composite PMI for the Eurozone has nudged into expansionary territory and posted its strongest reading for two years in August, helped in particular by positive figures for Germany. The end of recession is clearly good news but economic recovery in the Eurozone is almost universally expected to be slow and hesitant, at least in the short term. Austerity policies still weigh heavily but there will be some easing in the pace of fiscal contraction in 2014 as several countries gain more time to meet deficit reduction targets.

Having suffered subdued consumer spending levels for several years, European retailers' fortunes look a little brighter following a rise in consumer sentiment - it is now approaching long term average levels - and two consecutive quarters of retail sales growth. While retailers continue to exercise caution in their expansion activity across most markets, Eurostat survey figures show their sentiment becoming less negative since Q1.

Occupier demand for the best shopping streets in Europe's major cities is largely stable, with retailers continuing to focus on prime locations. Only in the major cities of Germany, where retailer confidence is at its highest level since the economic crisis began, and in Warsaw has demand held up in the better secondary locations. Many retailers are adopting a wait and see approach with their store portfolios. Equally, many retailers are developing their multichannel platforms and will only commit to new space once they have assessed the likely impact that their online operation will have on their need for physical stores. Other retailers are taking advantage of relatively weak occupier market to see out new locations and trade up to larger stores. Cross-border retailer activity is likely to remain strong, as it is often the only way for retailers, particularly those in the mature western European markets, to grow their businesses. This will continue to fuel demand for prime space in Europe's major cities and will put upward pressure on rents in the most sought after locations.

Source: EMEA ViewPoint: Mid 2013 European Market Outlook, September 2013 

Retail News

Retail sales forecast to grow in CEE over next decade

EE retail sales are forecast to expand at between 4.2%-7.6% per annum in the next decade, according to a new research report published by broker Colliers International.

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European real estate investment up 12% in Q3 2017

Total real estate investment in Europe reached €66bn in Q3 2017, representing a 12% increase on the same period last year, according to the latest report from global real estate advisor, CBRE.

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Wave of shopping centre closures in the US won’t be replicated in Europe

Europe’s retail market is ahead of the curve in dealing with global structural change, according to a new research report published by JLL. The report - ‘Structural changes in retail – why Europe and the US are different’ - says the wave of shopping centre closures in the US won’t be replicated in Europe thanks to smaller market size, less reliance on department stores and movement towards shopping experiences.

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Online giant blending offline and online grocery and it's not Amazon

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. has stepped up its efforts to combine physical retail with online in the supermarket space. The Chinese e-commerce behemoth has opened three new membership supermarkets, under the Hema banner, in Beijing and Shanghai, that seamlessly blend offline features with physical retail.

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Rebound in UK investments

Europe posted a strong second quarter with over €74bn in investments. This brings the total for H1 2017 to €130bn, which represents an increase of 13% compared to the same period in 2016.

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Sustained strong investment momentum in Germany

The German Commercial property investment market set another record in the first half of 2017 with an investment volume of €25.8 bn, which represents an increase of 45% compared to the year-earlier period.

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Background Photo:
Ragusa: Ibleo Shopping Centre